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The Best Betting Value for UFC 259


UFC 259 is going to be a fantastic event with three world title fights, multiple top ranked contests, and legends throughout the lineup.

The show is scheduled to have 15 bouts, which means there are dozens of wagers to choose from. Fortunately, we’ve got you covered!

Check out our choices for the best UFC 259 value bets and hopefully you can score your own fight night bonuses.

Start to finish, #UFC259 is LOADED with talent 🤩

[ LIVE on #ESPNPlus PPV: ]

— UFC (@ufc) March 3, 2021

Sean Brady Beats Matthews via Decision (+140)

Sean Brady is a -210 favorite over Josh Matthews (+175) in this UFC 259 prelim fight.

Matthews is 10-4 inside the octagon and has won three fights in a row. Brady is undefeated at 13-0 and has gone 3-0 in the UFC.

The Over 2.5 rounds (-230) is favored and so is the fight going the full three rounds (-195).

I like this fight to go the distance because Matthews has gone to a decision in three straight fights and six of his last eight. Brady has gone the distance in four of his last six bouts.

Brady is the better overall fighter and I expect him to win via unanimous decision.

Carlos Ulberg Wins Inside the Distance (+120)

Carlos Ulberg (-245) is a large betting favorite in his UFC debut against Kennedy Nzechukwu (+205).

This bout promises to be filled with fireworks as both men have a pension for knockouts. Four of Nzechukwu’s seven pro wins have come via TKO/KO. Ulberg was a successful kickboxer prior to joining MMA.

The fight is favored to go Over 1.5 rounds (-160), but finish inside the distance (-185). I believe Ulberg is the better striker and should finish off his opponent inside the distance via TKO/KO.

Kai Kara-France Wins via Decision (+130)

This is going to be an exciting contest as these two fighters are very talented. France is the slight favorite at -140, while Rogerio Bontorin is a +120 underdog.

UFC betting sites favor this fight to go the full 15 minutes (-195) and Over 2.5 rounds (-225). I believe it will go the distance.

France has gone the distance in five of his last six contests. Bontorin has gone the distance in two of his last three bouts. All of these contests for both men came inside the octagon.

With two evenly matched fighters, who have the gas tanks to go the full 15 minutes, the smart play is on one of them to win via decision. I believe Kara-France will outpoint Bontorin and take the decision victory.

Yadong Song Beats Phillips (-135)

Yadong Song, the “Kung Fu Monkey,” returns to action and looks to build on his 5-0-1 UFC record. He’s a slight favorite over Kyler Phillips (+115) in what will be an exciting matchup.

The Over 2.5 rounds (-170) and the fight to go the full distance (-150) are favored with oddsmakers. But, the real value is with each man’s moneyline.

Yadong Song is a PROBLEM 😨 #UFCFL

— UFC Canada (@UFC_CA) May 15, 2020

Both men like to strike and have combined to score 11 TKO/KO victories. I expect this to be a war for as long as it lasts.

Between the two, I like Song to come away as the winner. He has the heavier hands and just looks like the better overall fighter. Whether it’s by TKO/KO or decision, Song will improve to 6-0-1 inside the octagon.

Dominick Cruz Beats Casey Kenney (+110)

The legendary Dominick Cruz returns to action after losing to Henry Cejudo last year in his first fight since December 2016. Cruz is the underdog (+110) against Casey Kenney (-130) in what is scheduled to be the featured bout of the prelims.

For Kenney, this is the biggest fight of his career. He’s never faced someone as talented as Cruz. He’s 5-1 in the UFC and will be on the biggest stage of his octagon tenure.

I think this matchup and attention will be too much for Kenney. Cruz is determined to bounce back from the Cejudo loss and Kenney is the right opponent to do so.

Cruz will cause Kenney problems with his unorthodox striking, movement and pace. I see Cruz getting the win most likely via decision.

Petr Yan Defeats Sterling (-110)

Both Petr Yan and Aljamain Sterling are listed at -110 odds, which means that their moneylines offer the best value. Now, it comes down to which fighter you believe will win this contest.

Sterling has the more impressive resume with four straight wins over top ranked opponents like Sandhagen, Munhoz, Rivera and Stamann.

Yan has just one loss in his career, but doesn’t have as impressive of a resume in the UFC as Sterling. Furthermore, his last two fights have come against legends like Aldo and Faber who are past their primes.

If Sterling can keep this fight on the mat then he should be in a good position to win the fight. However, the longer it stays upright, the more it favors Yan.

I believe the champ will defend the takedowns better than Sterling defends Yan’s striking onslaught. In the end, Yan is going to win this close fight most likely via decision.

Amanda Nunes Wins via TKO/KO (+100)

The co-main event of UFC 259 will feature The GOAT Amanda Nunes who is the largest betting favorite for the entire card with odds between -1000 and -1400. Megan Anderson is the biggest underdog with odds from +500 to +750.

For Anderson, she will look to fight from a distance as she has the height and reach advantages. However, Nunes does a great job at closing the distance, counter striking, and going for the timely takedown.

“I will finish her.” 🦁

[ #UFC259 Countdown | Feb 27 at 2pmET ]

— UFC (@ufc) February 23, 2021

The fight has an Over/Under of 1.5 rounds with the Over slightly favored at -120. It’s heavily favored to end inside the distance at -505. Furthermore, Nunes is favored to win inside the distance at -355 odds.

With that said, the most likely method of victory for Nunes inside the distance is for her to score a TKO/KO at +100.

Nunes has 20 pro wins with 13 via TKO/KO. I expect her to pick up the 14th TKO/KO win of her career in dominating fashion. I highly doubt this fight makes it out of the second round. I wouldn’t be surprised if it ended in the 1st round.

Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at to become the self-professed “King of the Blog” in his first year with the site. …

View all posts by Rick Rockwell

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